Great Recession in South America
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The Great Recession in South America, primarily involved disruptions to the bond markets of Brazil, Argentina, Colombia and Venezuela. As most South American countries are commodity exporters, they were not directly affected by the financial turmoil.[1]
The continent experienced a concurrent agricultural crisis in early 2008.[2] Food prices increased due to use of arable land for the production of biofuels. Second generation biofuel processes increased production sustainability, using biomass from inedible parts of food crops, such as stems, leaves and husks.[3] Other non-food crops, such as switchgrass, grass, jatropha, whole crop maize, and miscanthus could be used to produce biofuels without impacting food production.[3] Industry waste products (such as, woodchips, skins and pulp) also replace the need to waste arable land for biofuels.[3] Food prices, rose significantly from 2002, reaching a peak during the first quarter of 2008, with the average food price rising 50% over one year.
Subsequently, South American countries were affected by the global slowdown and decreased food prices from declining demand.[4] In June 2008, the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) expected 4% growth for 2009. However, by year end it predicted 2009 would end the six years of prosperity where Latin America benefited from high raw material prices.[5] The region's production was expected to decline and unemployment to increase.[6][7] The Center for Economic and Policy Research emphasised careful macro-economic policies to mitigate damage, with South American countries increasingly independent of the U.S. economy.[8]
Countries
[edit]Brazil
[edit]Though escaping the early impacts of the Great Recession, Brazil's economy shrank 3.5% in the fourth quarter of 2008, industrial production 17.2% lower in January 2009 than the prior year. GDP grew by 5.1% over 2008. Capital spending fell 9.8% and household consumption by 2% in the fourth quarter.[9] The Wall Street Journal showed a 13.6% drop in gross domestic product in the 4th quarter of 2008 on an annualized rate and industrial production for December 2008 18.6% lower than December 2007, with 700,000 fewer jobs between November 2008 and February 2009.[10]
Argentina
[edit]As the second-largest economy in South America and an important exporter of both machinery and agricultural goods, Argentina was affected by the global slowdown. The country saw slower economic growth, a steep drop in commodities prices, and a damaging drought in the farm provinces. Local economists expected recession.[11][12] Former President Néstor Kirchner, husband of then president, Cristina Fernández de Kirchner, leader of the ruling Justicialist Party, gave a speech on February 17 2009, predicting the international crisis would cause Argentina's "most difficult year in the last century."[13]
Ecuador
[edit]Ecuador sought to default on sovereign debts incurred under the government of Gustavo Noboa, claiming the debts were incurred illegally.[14] An Ecuador default, would have been the first developing country to default on sovereign debt since the crisis began.[15]
Caribbean Islands
[edit]The International Monetary Fund (IMF) reported as soon as February 2008 that a U.S. slowdown would hurt the economies of the Caribbean Islands, especially the Eastern Islands. The tourism sector is a large part of the Islands' economies, and are heavily dependent on U.S. visitors.[16] However, lower inflation and currency depreciation in several Latin American and Caribbean nations may have offset this impact of the Great Recession, stimulating tourism.[17]
See also
[edit]- Great Recession in the Americas
- Great Recession in the United States
- Timeline of the Great Recession
References
[edit]- ^ ""Subprime": lejos de A. Latina" (in Spanish). BBC Mundo. August 1, 2007. Archived from the original on 2009-01-13. Retrieved 2010-01-05.
- ^ Poverty Declines Slightly in Latin America and the Caribbean, in Spite of Global Financial Crisis Archived 2011-07-20 at the Wayback Machine, ECLAC Notes Nº 59 (9 December 2008)
- ^ a b c Oliver R. Inderwildi, David A. King (2009). "Quo Vadis Biofuels". Energy & Environmental Science. 2 (4): 343. doi:10.1039/b822951c.
- ^ "Latin America risks reverting progress in poverty reduction / Global financial crisis will affect region's trade with the rest of the world" (PDF). ECLAC. December 2008. Archived (PDF) from the original on 2011-07-20. Retrieved 2010-10-02.
- ^ "Preliminary overview of the economies of Latin America and the Caribbean 2008". ECLAC. December 2008. Archived from the original on 2011-07-20. Retrieved 2010-10-02.
- ^ "Growth in Latin America and the Caribbean Is Projected to Be 1.9% in 2009". ECLAC. 18 December 2008. Archived from the original on 20 July 2011. Retrieved 2 October 2010.
- ^ "Amérique latine : fin de six années de croissance soutenue" (in French). RFI. 2008-12-19. Archived from the original on 2009-02-01. Retrieved 2010-10-02.
- ^ "South America: Recession Can Be Avoided". CEPR. November 16, 2008. Archived from the original on January 18, 2009. Retrieved October 2, 2010.
- ^ "Brazil Shrinks 3.5%, Worst Decline in 13 Years" Archived 2009-11-28 at the Wayback Machine, Brazzil, 11 March 2009
- ^ Regalado, Antonio. Brazil's Economic Outlook Becomes Focus in Political Battle. The Wall Street Journal. 2009-03-28. URL:https://www.wsj.com/articles/SB123792987606830301 Archived 2017-08-10 at the Wayback Machine. Accessed: 2009-03-28. (Archived by WebCite at https://web.archive.org/web/20090328063654/http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123792987606830301.htmlPlease note that the short ("opaque") form of the WebCite URL should be used only in addition to citing the original URL in your bibliographic reference. Alternatively, please use the "transparent" (but very long!) WebCite URL:
- ^ "Prevén que éste será el peor año económico desde 2002". Buenos Aires, Argentina: La Nacion. Feb 2, 2009. Archived from the original on 2009-02-20. Retrieved 2009-02-19.
- ^ "Argentina Announces $32 Billion Stimulus Package". Buenos Aires, Argentina: Latin American Herald. Dec 29, 2008. Archived from the original on 2012-06-07. Retrieved 2009-01-19.
- ^ "Para el ex presidente, el 2009 será "el año más difícil de los últimos cien" y pidió "memoria"". Buenos Aires, Argentina: El Cronista. Feb 19, 2009. Archived from the original on 2009-02-23. Retrieved 2009-02-19.
- ^ Ecuador renews default threats[dead link]
- ^ "Stratfor.com homepage, December 5, 2008". Archived from the original on September 22, 2012. Retrieved October 2, 2010.
- ^ "Caribbean islands may be hit by US recession". Property Wire. 13 February 2008. Archived from the original on 15 July 2011. Retrieved 2 October 2010.
- ^ "Central America and the Caribbean Will Be the Most Affected Subregions By Standstill in Tourism". ECLAC. 23 December 2008. Archived from the original on 20 July 2011. Retrieved 2 October 2010.